I missed the deadline for taking the poll, but I think the answer is option 4! Some will return to the old normal, many will partly return to the old normal (blended and hybrid approaches), some will wholeheartedly embrace the new normal. I think the large-scale effects will be positive for formerly in-person teachers, whether or not they stick with it, because (if they did it well) having to teach online might have often forced them to confront the weaknesses in the pedagogies they use in-person. One of the great things about online learning is that it is a constant reminder that what and how you teach and what and how students learn are only tangentially related.
It's trickier to predict the effect on students, though. As someone who has been teaching online for over 24 years (exclusively so for 14 years), I worry that they will think that emergency online teaching is the be-all and end-all of online learning. This could backfire on us!
I expanded a little on the subject a while back - see https://landing.athabascau.ca/blog/view/8527596/are-experienced-online-teachers-best-placed-to-help-in-person-teachers-cope-with-suddenly-having-to-teach-online-maybe-not
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